The Circle Betting Odds

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The NFL Divisional Round slate features the future of the quarterback position in the AFC with the reigning MVP, a former MVP, the 2018 No. 1 overall pick and a 2020 MVP candidate while the NFC has three future Hall of Fame QBs and a generational defensive force taking the field. Let’s make this NFL weekend even sweeter by cashing a three-bet parlay. Below, we make our NFL Divisional Round parlay predictions.

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NFL Divisional Round parlay picks and predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:50 p.m. ET.

Leg 1: Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers: UNDER 45.5 (-110)

The Rams defense is all-world this season, ranking first in opponent’s points per game and yards per play, and sack rate. I don’t expect them to completely shut down the Packers like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers did earlier this season but I expect Los Angeles to minimize the damage QB Aaron Rodgers and Co. can do.

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Also, Green Bay ranks first in net time of possession and Los Angeles second so both teams are good at controlling the flow of the game.

As for the Rams offense, I could give you rankings and metrics but let’s just settle on Los Angeles has the worst offense of all the remaining playoff teams. There’s no secret to the Rams’ recipe for a Super Bowl run. It’s 90% defense, 8% offense and 2% P Johnny Hekker.

Also see:Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and prediction

Leg 2: Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills: BUF Money line (-155)

Forgo 3 points with Buffalo’s spread and BET BILLS (-155) to win outright because we’re are still going to get a fat payout if our parlay cashes. These teams are the most evenly matched in the NFL Divisional Round Weekend.

Personally, I like the Bills here because they’ve played the most consistently in the NFL this season. Buffalo has the second-best cover percentage and best spread margin.

Naysayers will point to the Bills’ below-average rush defense as a reason to back the Ravens but my counter is Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott is a defensive tactician that will coach up his D vs. a one-dimensional Baltimore attack.

Most things being equal, I’ll take the home team with more momentum and circle the wagons with the Bills.

Also see:Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

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Leg 3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints: NOS ML (-165)

Copy and paste the same logic as the section above here. I’m more worried about landing this parlay plane than I am maxing out the payout.

New Orleans’ 38-3 Week 9 victory over Tampa Bay on Sunday Night Football was possibly the most lopsided outcome this season and Saints beat the Bucs by 11 in the first week of the season.

Tampa Bay’s defense is overrated hence its 10-7 Over/Under record. The Buccaneers allowed the Washington Football Team (with QB Taylor Heinicke making his second career start) to put up 23 points last week.

Coincidentally, the Saints’ two games against the Bucs and the NFC Wild Card Round are the only three games in which New Orleans has had all three of RB Alvin Kamara, QB Drew Brees and WR Michael Thomas in the lineup at the same time.

New Orleans has scored 31 or more points in its last four games against Tampa Bay and the Saints will roll the Bucs for a third straight game Sunday.

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Also see:Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and prediction

DIVISIONAL ROUND PARLAY Bet $100 to earn a profit of $404.24

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