Bet On It College Football

• College Football Over Under Odds
• Bet On It College Football Week 11
• Bet On It College Football Week 12
• College Football Picks Against Spreads
• College Football Over Under Picks

As a bookmaker or betting publishes an attractive line, sharp bettors will be on it almost immediately. The line will then be moved accordingly, and the value will disappear. There is regularly more value to be had in college football and even the Canadian Football League, as the bookmakers are not generally quite as expert on those games. Single-game bets are the classic wagers of sports betting. Single-game bets require you to bet on a single college football game., If you can accurately predict the outcome, you win the bet and receive a payout in addition to the return of your original wager. If your pick is wrong, you lose the bet and forfeit the money you’ve risked. Yes, it is not illegal to bet on college football games in the US. Even before the Supreme Court decision that legalized sports betting nationwide – there was no federal law against placing bets online. Some states have laws against placing bets with local bookies, but those are rarely enforced.

When it comes to betting on football, it would seem like the NFL is the place to make your money. With less teams, more consistent players year-in and year-out, and less change in gameplay, it would stand to reason that the pros are the way to go.

Although these things are all true, each year, sportsbooks win a higher percentage of bettors’ money on NFL bets than in any other sport. This is the reason why so many serious sports gamblers turn to the college ranks to make their money.

College football provides an opportunity to bet on a wide range of games, meaning bettors have way more options when it comes to pulling the trigger on a particular play. It also means that you can be much more selective in finding the ideal conditions you’re looking for in a bet.

Because of all these options, bettors have created an endless number of strategies and systems that they’ve found success with over the years. In this article, I’ll dive into a few that you can add to your playbook to help add a few extra dollars to your bankroll come season’s end.

1 – Over Heat

It goes without saying, or at least it should, that checking the weather before betting on a game is something you should do. With that being said, knowing the weather report doesn’t do much good unless you know how to use the information effectively.

It’s true that wind, rain, and any other precipitation have a major impact on the game, but I believe temperature can be even more valuable.

When you’re going through your list of potential games to bet on, see if you can locate a few where the temperatures are going to be in the high 80s, 90s, or beyond and strongly consider betting the over.

As the season progresses, the weather cools down for most of the country, so focus on leagues like Pac-12 or Big 12 to find games with high temperatures. These leagues have a history of high-scoring offenses. Although bookmakers take this into account, you can still have major success betting the over.

2 – Road Warriors

Sports gamblers, especially amateur sports gamblers, have their biases. One major bias is towards the favorite, even when accounting for the spread. Some college football books report up to 60% to 70% (and even higher) of the total number of bets placed on the favorite against the spread.

Another bias that gamblers tend to have is overvaluing the home team. Although playing at home is unquestionably advantageous, it isn’t nearly as big of a factor as the general public thinks it is.

Becoming successful betting on underdogs is all about knowing the best circumstances to make your pick. One of the best times to board the underdog train is when you can find one who is getting just a few points on the road.

You might think that it’s better to choose an underdog receiving a lot of points, but this theory is unpredictable and often involves teams that have a huge talent disparity.

When you factor in the “playing on the road,” oddsmakers use the public’s bias to their advantage. For example, Team A could be travelling to take on Team B. Team A is the better team, but because they’re on the road the sportsbooks put out a spread of Team A +4 points. They do this because they know the public will incorrectly take the home favorite.

Simply put, there’s no better time to choose an underdog than when they’re on the road and getting less than seven points.

3 – Bet on the Sleepers

Beating the online sportsbooks is extremely difficult in the NFL, and the same can be said about big time college football. It makes sense; the games that receive the most action are always going to be the most valuable for the sportsbooks.

You might be surprised to learn that the group of the top five teams against the spread from 2013 to 2019 doesn’t include Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, or any of the traditional powers. Instead, the schools with the best (at or around 60%) record against the spread are Temple, Navy, Duke, Colorado State, and Marshall.

That’s right, these overlooked teams have returned more money for bettors than any of the traditional top teams in the country. Because these teams typically receive very little action on their games, sportsbooks haven’t made them a huge focus. This has left the door open for gamblers to take advantage.

The same can be said for many of the NCAA’s non-power five teams. You can make money off these smaller programs by focusing on a handful of teams from smaller conferences. Get to know these teams and you’ll begin to find holes in the odds that can pay off big.

4 – Bet on Rest at Home

The college football season is a grind, and important players on every team get banged up each week. Getting a week off is crucial not only because it gives coaches an extra week to scheme, but it also provides an opportunity for a team to get healthy.

Typically, there aren’t many circumstances in which it’s advisable to take a favorite. With that said, following a bye week, college football teams that are a home favorite have a tendency to cover at a rate not usually seen with favorites in other situations.

Games that are played in hot temperatures tend to be dominated by the offense. The reasoning is that defenses tend to get worn out during the course of a game and heat exacerbates this phenomenon significantly.

The data would suggest that taking a good team coming off a bye is one of the best bets if you’re looking to put spot the rare undervalued favorite.

5 – Counterintuitive Wins

If you frequently bet on sports, you’ll recognize that occasionally, there are lines that just don’t make sense. These are the games where sportsbooks maximize their winnings. The good news? If you know how to spot these games, you can also generate a nice profit.

One of the tried-and-true philosophies for college football sharps suggests that one of the best bets you can make is an unranked opponent that is a favorite playing against a ranked opponent.

Remember that rankings aren’t necessarily a reflection of how good a team really is, but more so a reflection of their performance, strength of schedule, etc. Sportsbooks know that bettors automatically see ranked vs. unranked and assume that the ranked team is always better. When amateur gamblers see a ranked team that is actually getting points against an unranked team, they usually can’t resist.

In all cases, you want to think like the sportsbook. If you see something that feels like a trap, you might be onto something. Align yourself with the oddsmakers and you can also take advantage of the uninformed betting public.

Conclusion

College football is an American tradition that is celebrated every fall due to the passion, pageantry, and connection to one’s alma mater. This sacred time of year can also create a nice boost to your bankroll if you’re able to recognize the systems that work. Do some experimentation of your own and find which strategies work for you, and ride them all season long.

After a tumultuous college football season, it's finally one of the best weekends on the sports calendar. Welcome to championship week.

It is 16 weeks into the college football season amid a global pandemic. Dozens of major games were canceled. Others had to be squeezed into small windows. The schedule seemingly changed weekly. Still, there were the same amazing plays, crazy upsets and mind-boggling highlights that happen every season. Now, it's the best week on the college football calendar.

Championship week brings two teams at the top of each conference together to name one winner. Not only are conference championships on the line, but spots in the College Football Playoff will be solidified this week. Some may say this season is more defined than others, but the only voting that actually matters is what happens next week.

Even if your team isn't in it, it's one of the best weekends to bet on the schedule. There are guaranteed good matchups this week. Whatever happens here will decide where everyone plays this postseason. Let's not waste any more time and get right into this week's picks against the spread.

All lines come from the William Hill Sportsbook.

Conference USA Championship: UAB vs. Marshall (-5)

This matchup comes down to two of the best running backs outside the Power 5. UAB's Spencer Brown looks to finish his amazing career with a win over the conference star in Marshall. However, Brendan Knox is looking to come to control the clock by himself. Marshall is 6-0 when he rushes for at least 80 yards this season. Over his career, they are 13-2 when he breaks the century mark. UAB has been here for the past three seasons. Despite the season the Thundering Herd had, the experience of this UAB team will prevail.

Pick: UAB (+5)

Mountain West Championship: Boise State (-6.5) vs. San Jose State

Boise State is looking to win its fourth Mountain West title, which would be the most in conference history. The Broncos were supposed to face off with San Jose State earlier this season, but that game was canceled. Now, these two programs will finally play each other undefeated in the conference. Boise State hasn't lost a conference game in two seasons. San Jose State has never been to the Mountain West Championship. They will be happy to be there, but they won't be able to overcome the conference star.

Pick: Boise State (-6.5)

MAC Championship: Ball St vs. Buffalo (-13.5)

The Mid-Atlantic Conference did not get a lot of publicity this season. However, Buffalo has been by far the best team in the conference. They scored 150 points more than they allowed. Their closest margin of victory was 19 points against Northern Iowa. Ball State is better, but not by much. Jaret Patterson is the star of this contest. He has over 1,000 yards in five games. Less than a month ago, he went for 400 yards and eight (not a typo) touchdowns. There's no one on Ball State who can come close to stopping him.

Pick: Buffalo (-13.5)

Sun Belt Championship: No. 19 Louisiana at No. 12 Coastal Carolina (-3.5)

Coastal Carolina looks to finish a magical season with a zero on the end of their record. These two teams faced off on Oct. 14. It was one of the best games of the entire season. Go back and watch the highlights. There were five lead changes and four ties, as every single score either tied the game or put one team ahead. The Chanticleers kicked a field goal with four seconds left to win it. Both teams won every single game since then, but Coastal Carolina has everything to play for here. It will still be a fun game, and this line is perfect, but it looks like a four-point CCU win.

Pick: Coastal Carolina (-3.5)

AAC Championship: No. 23 Tulsa at No. 9 Cincinnati (-14.5)

Cincinnati was never given even a modicum of respect this season. Despite going undefeated, and beating every team except one by double digits, the College Football Playoff committee gave the Bearcats exactly zero chance to fight for a championship. This is going to be UCF all over again if they win this game. Tulsa is not a bad team by any stretch. They won every game except an opening night loss to Oklahoma State. Five games were postponed or outright canceled for Tulsa, so they don't have the impressive records some other Group of Five teams have, but this is not a team to sneeze at. Tulsa has kept things close all season. They won't come close to winning, but a backdoor cover seems likely here. Beware of this game.

Pick: Tulsa (+14.5)

Pac 12 Championship: Oregon at No. 13 USC (-3)

The Pac 12 season ends as strangely as it started. This was supposed to be Washington State, but because of issues with COVID-19 cases, Oregon had to step in to take on USC in the Championship Game. The Ducks are coming off two-straight losses. USC had a monster fourth quarter to survive UCLA last week. Kedon Slovis threw a go-ahead touchdown pass with 16 seconds left to cap off a 20-point final quarter. USC is a better team than Oregon this season, and it should work out that way in the championship.

Pick: USC (-3)

College Football Over Under Odds

Big 12 Championship: No. 6 Iowa State vs. No. 10 Oklahoma (-5.5)

On Oct. 3, Oklahoma fell to 1-2 on the season and things looked bleak for the Sooners. Iowa State, fresh off a loss to Louisiana two weeks prior, took down the conference powerhouse at home. It was the first time Iowa State beat Oklahoma in Ames in 60 years. Now, they both head to Arlington to see if one can play spoiler to the College Football Playoff.

The Iowa State offense has been on fire all season, with Breece Hall leading the entire nation in rushing. He had 139 yards and two touchdowns the last time these two met. Spencer Rattler has been a much better quarterback. He threw an interception to basically end the game the last time these two met. The fact of the matter is Oklahoma is getting too many points here. This should be closer to three. Iowa State has been rolling just as much as the Sooners. They will end Oklahoma's Big 12 Championship winning streak.

Pick: Iowa State (+5.5)

Big Ten Championship: No. 4 Ohio State (-20.5) vs. No. 14 Northwestern

Not a lot made sense in the Big Ten this season. One thing that held true is Ohio State won every game. Sure, the conference changed the rules to put the Buckeyes in the game, but it wouldn't be a true Big Ten Championship without Ohio State. There is a lot on the line here. Ohio State is hoping to solidify its spot in the College Football Playoff. Justin Fields is looking to make a Heisman Trophy case. This line still feels strange. Oddsmakers put it just under three touchdowns for a reason, but it's only one point better than Ohio State was getting against Michigan State. Northwestern has a lot to play for. They caused 16 turnovers this season. The Wildcats will score points, and this one will be much closer than three touchdowns.

Pick: Northwestern (+20.5)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback Ian Book (12): Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

ACC Championship: No. 2 Notre Dame vs. No. 3 Clemson (-10.5)

This is a rematch of sorts. Clemson and Notre Dame did face off, but it came with a huge asterisk because Trevor Lawrence was forced to sit out due to illness. That was the only loss on either of their schedules. Yet, oddsmakers are giving the Tigers double-digit points.

These two teams could face each other a third time in the College Football Playoff. Clemson might have been without Lawrence, but D.J. Uiagalelei took Notre Dame to two overtimes. This one is expected to be another thriller. These are two of the best teams in college football.

The line on this game seems to be very high. Obviously, Clemson is college football royalty over the past five years. Going from Deshaun Watson to Trevor Lawrence helps any team on its journey to multiple championships. However, Notre Dame hasn't been a team to scoff at. They have one of the best offensive lines in the country. Ian Book isn't going to convince anyone he's winning a game by himself, but he has enough talent around him to beat even the best teams in the country.

Clemson was always going to be favored in this game. They've won the ACC Championship for five straight seasons. For the first time, they have a legit opponent who can beat them at any time. In fact, they did beat them. This should be another shootout, with both teams looking to gain the upper hand. On the money line, Clemson is the pick, but with more than 10 points, Notre Dame is the smart choice.

Pick: Notre Dame (+10.5)

Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Mac Jones (10): (Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports)

SEC Championship: No. 1 Alabama (-17) vs. No. 7 Florida

Every year, the SEC Championship Game is much-watch television. The matchups on paper have always been great, but that hasn't always turned out for what happens on the field. The East Division has won this game once in the past 12 years. This includes three losses by these Florida Gators.

This game likely looks a lot better if Florida didn't blow it to LSU last week. The Tigers were starting a true freshman at quarterback against one of the most explosive offenses in the country. Florida blew it, plain and simple.

Bet On It College Football Week 11

Alabama hasn't blown anything this season. In fact, they blew everyone out of the water. They faced LSU the week before Florida did. They beat the defending champs 55-17. Only one game this season has been within two scores. They beat Ole Miss by 15.

The Alabama offense has been unstoppable. No Power 5 team has scored as much as Alabama's 49.5 points per game. Remember, the Crimson Tide didn't pad these stats against non-conference opponents. This was a schedule with only SEC opponents on it. Florida's 41 points per game aren't bad, but Alabama is on another level.

This comes down to offenses. Mac Jones has somewhat quietly destroyed opponents this season. Kyle Trask got all of the Heisman hype, but look at their numbers side by side. Jones has 3,321 yards, 27 touchdowns and three interceptions. Trask has 3,717 yards, 40 touchdowns and five interceptions. Who had the better season is for Heisman voters to decide. However, the fact is Trask had his worst game of the season last week when it mattered.

Bet On It College Football Week 12

What needs to be considered here is the spread. Seventeen points seem like a lot for a top-10 matchup, but Florida and Alabama seem to be in separate leagues. Alabama is the No. 1 team in the country for a reason. They've destroyed every opponent in its way. This will be no different. Bet the over (which is a ridiculous 74.5). Bet for all the over props. Bet on Alabama.

College Football Picks Against Spreads

Pick: Alabama (-17)

College Football Over Under Picks

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